Cackling Queen of Woke Kamala’s Ascension to the Throne is Soooo Not Democracy, and oy! those New Polls…
As the media fawns over cringey and cruel Kamala showing her ahead in a new Reuters/IPSOS poll over Trump, Rasmussen says Donald Trump is by far ‘the most popular politician’ we’ve ever polled.
Erin Schaff/POOL via Getty Images
July 25, 2024–What is the combined probability of an assassination attempt on the Republican candidate for president happening five days before the Republican National Convention, followed by the Democrat presumptive nominee for president dropping his incumbent bid for the White House due to failing health followed by the largest IT outage in history?
These three events occurred within a 12-day period. An anonymous poster on social media puts those odds at 1 in 3.8 billion!
In March 1981, Ronald Reagan was shot by a gunman. That was 43 years ago. Nearly every president has received death threats and been the target of would-be assassins in one form or another throughout our history.
The nearly fatal attempt on President Trump’s life July 13th resembles the Reagan event the most. (A timeline of presidential assassination attempts is available here.)
It was 59 years ago that a president resigned from office. Richard M. Nixon, the 37th president, resigned on August 8, 1974, as a result of the Watergate scandal that engulfed his presidency. His VP, Gerald Ford, succeeded him.
The Crowdstrike-Falcon IT outage occurred five days ago and impacted 8.5 million machines. It is considered to be the largest cyber outage ever, but it seems IT blackouts can hit almost yearly.
And the above doesn’t count calculating the chances that Kamala Harris, VP to Joe Biden, would be able to secure enough delegates before the DNC nominating convention on August 19-22, without so much as her boss’s endorsement, nor that of former President Barack Obama, and without a single vote being cast for her in a ‘Democratic’ primary.
Hours after Biden dropped his bid for the WH, she did. Now Harris is the presumptive nominee and if Biden resigns, she will become the 47th President of the United States. She is, bless her heart, holding a Zoom meeting with state party heads in early August that will ‘nominate’ her as the Democrat Party candidate for president.
Why are Polling Companies Polling this Race with Kamala Harris in it?
The Daily Mail shows has Trump up 11 points with 49% of the vote over Harris and up five points with 47% of the vote over Biden. This poll was however taken way back on July 4th, light years ago.
Full article here: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13593757/president-kamala-harris-biden-replace-poll-trump.html
This is interesting. Polymarket’s New Betting Odds from July 22 has Trump winning with 64% of the vote:
CBS polled likely voters, not registered voters like Reuters/IPSOS
New Reuters/IPSOS Poll Making Republicans Skittish Again?
Reuters/IPSOS predictably released a national poll of registered voters just a few days ago claiming Harris now enjoys a +2 advantage over Trump.
Dear readers can parse the Reuters/IPSOS poll here:
Trump, has been leading Biden, in his third run for president in every poll for the entire race. In his two previous runs he lagged nationally and in battleground states to both Hillary Clinton in 2016 and to Joe Biden in 2020. Suddenly he’s down?
Rasmussen Pushes Back on Reuters
Rasmussen Reports, Mark Mitchell, countered the Reuters data with Peter Navarro, subbing for Steve Bannon, on War Room Tuesday, saying it was wrong and a bad poll although he said it gently. (Company namesake, Scott Rasmussen is more circumspect when offering polling data than Mitchell typically is by the way.)
Highlights of Mitchell’s War Room segment include:
#1. At 4:48, the Reuters/IPSOS poll used registered voters, we use likely voters and here’s why: Likely voters sentiment is more sensitive to swings due to news events than registered voters. We toss out registered voters and only talk to likely voters. Likely voters is the better model.
#2. At 6:40, Reuters had Trump +2 just last week and now -2 this week. That’s a 4-point swing and we don’t know where they are getting that. We saw a huge bounce for Trump after two events: the assassination attempt, and the RNC Convention. Post-RNC Trump is 8 points and now garners over 50% of the vote. Biden is at 42%.
And, we have Trump winning 21% of Independent voters.
#3. At 8:30, regarding how Kamala Harris polls in terms of favorability. Rasmussen has polled her a lot for years. “She never outperforms Biden in favorability; she just doesn’t,” says Mitchell. She us always under water with favorability ratings at 41%.
Donald Trump, by the way, is by far the most popular politician we have ever polled. His favorability is at 51-52% and that is in a very divided political environment.
Click the link below to hear the entire segment between Navarro and Mark Mitchell:
https://americasvoice.news/video/k3cwxiA9YAxgYoo/?related=playlist
Harris Down 12 Points with Youth Vote
Listen to Charlie Kirk in this clip at 2:25 discuss CNN’s data from their analyst Harry Enten showing that Harris is only up 9 points against Trump – in new matchup numbers – in the Under Age 35 demo. Enten, says it’s an extraordinary decline for Harris who might presumably fare better with younger voters as she is 20 years Biden’s junior. Kirk cautions that these numbers might swing back in her favor.
If she can’t hold the youth vote, what can she hold?
Kirk adds that baby boomer voters, men – who are said to be voting in higher numbers lately as they are reacting to the hyper-feminization of the culture. Liberal white suburban women of course are sticking with Biden or Harris.
Indeed, What are the Chances?
With President Biden out of the race, with some saying the ‘cackling California commie’ VP Kamala Harris shoved him aside, and with only 38 days until early voting in starts in some states, something tells me those ‘what are the chances of this happening’ odds will continue to skyrocket as we speed toward our nominal actual election day of November 5th.
It begs the question as to why anyone is polling whether Harris can beat Donald Trump. As Trump said during his rally in Charlotte, NC last night: “We were beating Biden by so much in the polls he knew he couldn’t win and the same might happen to Kamala.” (Charlotte was yet another successful event for Trump as he filled a 13,000 seat arena.)
Indeed, what are the chances a new candidate — with VP name recognition, yes — like a Kamala Harris who enters the race with lower approval ratings among Democrats than even Joe Biden (and his are at rock bottom, the lowest of any president) can take on a former president fresh off two weeks where he dominated headlines and has been surging in every poll until leftist media crowned Kamala queen of all things good and just.
Everyone figured as soon as the news hit that Biden was out of the race and Kamala was in that the media would fawn over her as if she is suddenly likeable. The phony media blitz is in full swing. Just two weeks ago the state-runs were telling us how ‘sharp’ and ‘with it’ and ‘incisive’ Joe Biden was. It was obvious, they said, Biden is not suffering mental decline.
FBI Director, Christopher Wray, testifying before a House committee investigating Secret Service lapses in the Trump assassination attempt, was asked point-blank by Florida Rep. Matt Gaetz (R) if he noticed a decline in Biden’s mental of physical abilities and he said, No.
This, after the media was forced to admit his mental decline was true as he announced he had Covid and therefore would drop out of the race for president.
Now it’s Kamala’s turn to be given the royal treatment. She is suddenly the subject of frou frou puff pieces. In between giggles at ‘campaign’ events, she’s mudslinging against her opponent. Yet, Trump is cautioned to stay on message, talk policy…you can’t ‘attack’ a ‘black ‘woman’…
Fake News Scrubs Border Czar from Harris Resume
Axios and other outlets are, as we speak, are scrubbing the interwebs of any mention that Biden ever named Harris his border czar. She colossally failed in that assignment allowing (as did her boss) some 18 million illegals to cross the southern U.S. border since 2021.
Team Trump covered the fake news attempt to cover up Harris’s known responsibility to oversee the southern border and her subsequent failure at it that everyone has witnessed for three-and-a-half years.
Article, “We Have the Receipts: Kamala Harris is the Border Czar” (July 24, 2024) below:
https://www.donaldjtrump.com/news/ccf428a1-9867-4566-afad-dd3cd336fb89
The moment she got the title Border Czar it just happened to be caught on tape. Click below.
But wait! There’s More!!
Here is a run-down of polls lifted from Trump’s Palm Beach Playbook newsletter. (It’s new. Go here to subscribe. Or find page links here.) Numbers fresh as at 7/15-7/16:
NATIONAL POLL: @CBSNewsPoll
Donald Trump: 51% (+3)
Kamala Harris: 48%
Independents
Donald Trump: 54% (+11)
Kamala Harris: 43%
#4 (2.9/3.0) | 2,241 LV | 7/16-18 | ±2.7%
2024 GE: @EmersonPolling
PENNSYLVANIA
Trump: 48% (+5)
Biden: 43%
—
WISCONSIN
Trump: 48% (+5)
Biden: 43%
—
MICHIGAN
Trump: 45% (+3)
Biden: 42%
—
ARIZONA
Trump: 47% (+7)
Biden: 40%
—
GEORGIA
Trump: 47% (+6)
Biden: 41%
—
NEVADA
Trump: 46% (+5)
Biden: 41%
—
NORTH CAROLINA
Trump: 48% (+7)
Biden: 41%
—
#9 (2.9/3.0) | 7,000 RV | July 15-16
